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Our trend intelligence is based on a robust methodology, honed over more than 10 years, helping us to spot emerging consumer expectations and guide thousands of clients.
At the heart of our methodology is a concurrence of Basic Human Needs, Macro-Trends and Innovations.
Consumer trends emerge when relatively constant Basic Human Needs (e.g. community or self-expression) bump against ever-changing Macro-Trends (e.g. climate crisis, ageing societies).
When this intersection occurs, tension arises. Innovations resolve that tension and consequently create new trends, new consumer expectations. ➡️
We now all act, contribute and compete in an expectation economy that transcends industries, borders and price points.
You aren't just competing with others in their industry or market, you compete with the latest expectation setting innovation from any industry or market. Once people have experienced TikTok's algorithm, Apple's UX or Patagonia's sustainability standards, it's hard for them to tolerate 'normal' alternatives.
Ultimately, developing a cross-industry mindset (something that's been at the core of our approach for many years now) and understanding how consumers transfer expectations from one product, service or brand experience to another, will help you to set consumer expectations instead of meeting them.
Trends and expectations are exciting, but to structure and focus, you also need a multi-layered trend framework. This is how we built ours:
These are the bigger shifts that play out across many years or even decades with a large-scale impact. They summarize all major forces across society, technology, economy, ecology, and politics that have a direct or indirect impact on consumer behavior.
You can view our Mega-Trends as the building blocks of the consumer arena. They identify the points of tension that Macro-Trends create when they intersect with consumers' basic needs.
With our database of around 200 Sub-Trends we spotlight the opportunities and innovations that arise from the above mentioned tension. They incite action by explaining how you can start running with emerging expectations today.
These are emerging ideas and experimental concepts at the fringes of consumerism. They are often quite industry-focused but have the potential to become wider consumer trends.
Now, let's face it, without meaningfully applying trends and insights, all of our work is useless.
Hence our focus on truly sustainable and purposed trend-driven innovation. You'll find some of the ideation tools we use to help clients to apply and act on trends in our Toolbox, which includes our Consumer Trend Radar and Consumer Trend Canvas.
Last but not least: the actual trend and innovation spotting!
For over 20 years now, with help from our researchers, analysts, spotters, endless business sources, technologies and personal encounters, we’ve been immersed in the actual scanning and curating of trends and opportunities. With gusto.
It's given and continues to give us a unique and forever fascinating perspective on how trends evolve, how the niche and the fringe, again and again, become mainstream, and how consumer behavior and innovations spread globally faster than ever before. Even more exciting: the related opportunities this brings to those who are tuned-in, informed and curious.
And yes, there is more to track, more to monitor, more to get inspired by than ever before.
The sheer amount of smart professionals now innovating, the abundance of exciting start-ups, and the countless thinkers sharing their brilliant business insights with the world instantly and relentlessly, from Bulgaria to Indonesia to Canada.
Making the most of this 'overwhelm' is a 24/7 endeavor. It's also what we do, live and love. Check out the full process:
Our diverse team of trend analysts is constantly on the lookout for valuable trends, insights and innovations which are fed into our research system in dedicated channels and formats on a daily basis.
We use machine learning and natural language processing (including Feedly) to track thousands of sources, including online magazines, social media, industry online news, blogs, and newsletters.
Our global trend community helps us to spot uber local insights and innovations - via Slack, trend and innovation professionals from all over the world share meaningful insights with our analysts 24/7.
This is where all resource streams come together and where we prioritize, categorize and archive all of our spottings - truly our internal pool of insights.
This is where we connect patterns and make sense of all of our spotting. Weekly trend idea discussions in our analyst team turn signals into clear insights.
Amplify is our company-wide trends & ideation solution, neatly platformed, giving you access to our full Trend Framework, Innovation Database with 28,000+ innovations, Annual Trend Reports, Industry Reports, Stats, Training, Analyst Support and more.
Everything you need to guide you and your teams to turn trends into meaningful innovations.
For over a decade, we've been working with some of the biggest organizations in the world on strategic trend projects. From the US to Brazil to South Africa to Thailand.
If you're deeply into trends and in charge of getting as many of your teams / colleagues involved in any kind of trend understanding, thinking or applying, check out what we could do for and with you.
We absolutely love trend events, conferences, keynotes, workshops. Online, offline or hybrid.
In fact, over the last 10 years, we've participated in and organized 100s of them, from New York to Berlin to São Paulo to Singapore. Whatever you may be planning, we're keen to go all out.
Talk to Raymond Kollau, our Business Development Director.
Your message will go straight into his inbox and will be replied to asap.