How we do trends

Methodology. Trend hierarchy. Research process.
Never a dull moment!

Our worldview

Our worldview

The shift to more sustainable, inclusive consumerism is the trend of all trends - any organization keen to claim its spot in this transformational decade will have to run with the most meaningful opportunities out there.

We're grounded in purpose and it's our mission to inspire you to find and take action on those opportunities - weโ€™re scanning the world for them every day. Learn more on the 'how', below (we did our best to keep it brief ๐Ÿ˜ฌ).

1. Methodology at heart


Our trend intelligence is based on a robust methodology, honed over more than 10 years, helping us to spot emerging consumer expectations and guide thousands of clients.

At the heart of our methodology is a concurrence of Basic Human Needs, Macro-Trends and Innovations.

Consumer trends emerge when relatively constant Basic Human Needs (e.g. community or self-expression) bump against ever-changing Macro-Trends (e.g. climate crisis, ageing societies).

When this intersection occurs, tension arises. Innovations resolve that tension and consequently create new trends, new consumer expectations. โžก๏ธ

2. Cross-industry mindset

Expectation-Transfer-1

We now all act, contribute and compete in an expectation economy that transcends industries, borders and price points.

You aren't just competing with others in their industry or market, you compete with the latest expectation setting innovation from any industry or market. Once people have experienced TikTok's algorithm, Apple's UX or Patagonia's sustainability standards, it's hard for them to tolerate 'normal' alternatives. 

Ultimately, developing a cross-industry mindset (something that's been at the core of our approach for many years now) and understanding how consumers transfer expectations from one product, service or brand experience to another, will help you to set consumer expectations instead of meeting them. 

Trend-Hierarchy-1

3. Trend hierarchy and framework

Trends and expectations are exciting, but to structure and focus, you also need a multi-layered trend framework. This is how we built ours:

Macro-Trends
These are the bigger shifts that play out across many years or even decades with a large-scale impact. They summarize all major forces across society, technology, economy, ecology, and politics that have a direct or indirect impact on consumer behavior. 

Mega-Trends
You can view our Mega-Trends as the building blocks of the consumer arena. They identify the points of tension that Macro-Trends create when they intersect with consumers' basic needs.

Sub-Trends
With our database of around 200 Sub-Trends we spotlight the opportunities and innovations that arise from the above mentioned tension. They incite action by explaining how you can start running with emerging expectations today.

Niches
These are emerging ideas and experimental concepts at the fringes of consumerism. They are often quite industry-focused but have the potential to become wider consumer trends.

4. Purpose-driven innovation

Now, let's face it, without meaningfully applying trends and insights, all of our work is useless.

Hence our focus on truly sustainable and purposed trend-driven innovation. You'll find some of the ideation tools we use to help clients to apply and act on trends in our Toolbox, which includes our Consumer Trend Radar and Consumer Trend Canvas

PDI_2
Research-Analysis-1

5. A sprawling research & analysis process

Last but not least: the actual trend and innovation spotting! 

For over 20 years now, with help from our researchers, analysts, spotters, endless business sources, technologies and personal encounters, weโ€™ve been immersed in the actual scanning and curating of trends and opportunities. With gusto.

It's given and continues to give us a unique and forever fascinating perspective on how trends evolve, how the niche and the fringe, again and again, become mainstream, and how consumer behavior and innovations spread globally faster than ever before. Even more exciting: the related opportunities this brings to those who are tuned-in, informed and curious.  

And yes, there is more to track, more to monitor, more to get inspired by than ever before. 
The sheer amount of smart professionals now innovating, the abundance of exciting start-ups, and the countless thinkers sharing their brilliant business insights with the world instantly and relentlessly, from Bulgaria to Indonesia to Canada. 
Making the most of this 'overwhelm' is a 24/7 endeavor. It's also what we do, live and love. Check out the full process:

Analysts_

Analysts

Our diverse team of trend analysts is constantly on the lookout for valuable trends, insights and innovations which are fed into our research system in dedicated channels and formats on a daily basis. 

  • 15 trend analysts, 12 nationalities

  • Gen Z to Boomer ๐Ÿ˜‰

  • 100s of projects, publications, presentations

AI-Driven_1

AI-driven feed

We use machine learning and natural language processing (including Feedly) to track thousands of sources, including online magazines, social media, industry online news, blogs, and newsletters.

  • 1,200+ sources tracked

  • 80+ industry, region and topic feeds

  • 5,000+ articles scanned weekly

Trend-Locals_1

tw:in

Our global trend community helps us to spot uber local insights and innovations - via Slack, trend and innovation professionals from all over the world share meaningful insights with our analysts 24/7.

  • 900+ spotters

  • 90+ countries

  • 600+ spottings per month

Research-Center

Research center

This is where all resource streams come together and where we prioritize, categorize and archive all of our spottings - truly our internal pool of insights.

  • Collaborative insights database 

  • 200+ insights and spottings saved per week

  • Non-stop curation

Analysis

Analysis center

This is where we connect patterns and make sense of all of our spotting. Weekly trend idea discussions in our analyst team turn signals into clear insights.

  • Weekly trend idea discussions

  • Daily fine-tuning of our Trend Framework

  • Integration of local perspectives 

Intelligence-1

Intelligence

Ultimately, our proprietary content is added to Amplify, our trend intel platform, and fuels our advisory work. Some of it also ends up in our Free Trend Updates

  • 15 mega trends and 230+ sub-trends 

  • Database of 28,000+ innovations across 16 B2C industries & various regions

  • 100s of trend reports 

Our services

Our trend intelligence platform

Amplify is our trend intelligence platform, giving you access to our Daily Feed, our full Trend Framework, Innovation Database with 28,000+ innovations, Industry Reports, Stats, Training, Analyst Support and more. 

NEW | Experience the platform yourself with our free 14 day trial ๐Ÿ™Œ

Access our trend platform
Services-Amplify-Mobile

Join us in a city near you

Our Annual Trend Seminars are now in full swing, running until November 2024.

With 13(!) cities covered worldwide, from Bangkok to London to New York, we're looking forward to meeting up with you in person somewhere soon ๐Ÿ™

See all cities / seminars
Events-mobile

Your strategic trend projects

For over a decade, we've been working with some of the biggest organizations in the world on strategic trend projects. From the US to Brazil to South Africa to Thailand. 

If you're deeply into trends and in charge of turning as many of your teams trend-driven, check out what we could do for and with you.

Read more
Advisory-mobile-1
Raymond-Circle

Want the help of our analysts?

Talk to Raymond Kollau, our Business Development Director.
Your message will go straight into his inbox and will be replied to asap.

Get your hands on our newsletter ๐Ÿ™Œ